Issued at 8:00 PM, 10 November 2024
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 11:00 PM today.
“NIKA” SLIGHTLY DECELERATES OVER THE PHILIPPINE SEA EAST OF AURORA
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• Location of Center (7:00 PM):
The center of Severe Tropical Storm NIKA was estimated based on all available data including Baler and Daet Weather Radar at 335 km East Northeast of Infanta, Quezon or 330 km East of Baler, Aurora (15.4°N, 124.7°E)
• Intensity:
Maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa
• Present Movement:
West northwestward at 15 km/h
• Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds:
Strong to storm-force winds extend outwards up to 340 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 1
○ Wind threat: Strong winds
○ Warning lead time: 36 hours
○ Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
○ Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
-BULACAN
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TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• NIKA is forecast to move generally west northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the track forecast, it may make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow (11 November) morning or early afternoon. Regardless of the position of the landfall point, it must be emphasized that hazards on land and coastal waters may still be experienced in areas outside the landfall point or forecast confidence cone. The tropical cyclone will then traverse the landmass of mainland Northern Luzon and emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow evening. Afterwards, NIKA will continue moving west northwestward over the West Philippine Sea and exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Tuesday (12 November) afternoon.
• NIKA is forecast to reach typhoon category today and may reach its peak intensity of around 130 km/h prior to landfall. A short period of weakening is expected as NIKA traverses the landmass of Luzon due to land interaction. Re-intensification may occur over the West Philippine Sea.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials.
For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 11:00 PM today.
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